Standing alone when it all comes down: the relationship between personalist regimes and negative post-tenure fates explored.
Lammers, R. J.
Stockmann, Dr. D.C.
The purpose of this study was to shed light on the relationship between regimes with a strong personalist dimension and a negative post-tenure fate. This was a relevant exercise, because the personalist dimension was missing in existing frameworks addressing post-tenure fates of authoritarian leaders and elites. Based on available literature, this personalist dimension was hypothesized to be a strong indicator for a negative post-tenure fate. In this thesis this hypothesis is substantiated and found to be statistically significant through merging of the Archigos data-set on regime leaders and Geddes' (1999) typology of authoritarian regimes. The relationship is then further explored through analysis of two similar cases, Libya and Tunisia. Based on this analysis it was possible to draw several plausible hypotheses regarding the relationship, which provide an interesting starting point for future research. All in all, it is clearly shown that the conditions that come with a strong personalist dimension can be expected to have a strong negative influence on the post-tenure fate of the regime leadership.
post-tenure fate; personalist regime; sultanist regime; Qadhafi; Libya; Tunisia; Ben Ali; authoritarian regimes; Archigos; regime leadership
Type of publication|
Leiden - University of Leiden
|Added to C-A: 2012-07-08;12:18:21|
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