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Title
The Application of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasts Based on El Niņo - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Events: Australia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Peru, and Zimbabwe |
Full text
http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4b88q4mj |
Date
1999 |
Author(s)
Orlove, Benjamin S; Tosteson, Joshua L. |
Abstract
In this paper we present case studies of the efforts of five nations, Australia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Peru, and Zimbabwe, to use climate forecasts based on the El Niņo-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) system to plan in advance of anticipated anomalous climatic states. We treat the variable use of climate forecasts among these nations as a problem of "fit" between the nature of ENSO, a persistent variability in the ocean-atmosphere system of the tropical Pacific which produces climate variability at local and regional scales around the world, and the human institutions and actors that make and use the forecasts. Our examination of patterns of use of forecasts indicates constraints and suggests opportunities for the useful application of climate forecasts in the future. |
Subject(s)
el nino; southern oscillation; climate change; australia; brazil; ethiopia; peru; zimbabwe |
Language
english |
Publisher
eScholarship, University of California |
Relation
http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4b88q4mj |
Type of publication
article |
Format
application/pdf |
Source
Orlove, Benjamin S; & Tosteson, Joshua L.(1999). The Application of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasts Based on El Niņo - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Events: Australia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Peru, and Zimbabwe. UC Berkeley: Institute of International Studies. Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4b88q4mj |
Rights
public |
Identifier
qt4b88q4mj |
Repository
Berkeley - University of California
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Added to C-A: 2011-10-26;09:29:37 |
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